We are back this week with another set of picks for you guys. Last week I was 2-3, but I still stand by my picks, because they were really good. Let's recap real fast before we move on to this week.
Oregon crushed USC and like I said their defense and offense were average, and their Freshman QB couldn't handle playing at Autzen. I would love for USC to lose one more game just so the dirtiest program in the NCAA might become a little less untouchable, but that will never happen. As long as there is not an NFL team in Los Angeles, USC will reign supreme, and be able to do whatever they want.
Michigan State absolutely screwed me!! I don't understand how Adam Weber can go from being the worst QB in the Big Ten, lose his best receiver, and then go out and have a career day!! It was just a terrible effort on the part of MSU's secondary.
Indiana was not only covering, but they were making me look like a genius for the first 3 quarters of the game, and then they realized that they were Indiana, and forgot how to play defense. I really wonder if a team has ever gotten 4 interceptions in a quarter and only gotten 3 points out of it? In their defense, the replay officials did mess up one of the 2 touchdown receptions that were reviewed, but blowing a 10 point lead a week after you blow a 25 point lead is atrocious!! Especially when Ricky Stanzi is turning the ball over basically every time he drops back to pass. Gotta love getting 17.5 points and losing by 18!
Cal was up 14-0 early, and it looked like they were going to roll against ASU, but give the Sun Devils credit, they somehow convinced Cal that Jahvid Best should only carry the ball 16 times. Like I have always been told, never bet based on how bad you think a team will be, because shitty teams with nothing to lose are the ones that get overlooked by opponents.
At least Illinois covered and more importantly won!! I have now watched that game as many times as I watched Illinois upset Ohio State in 2007. The best part of watching that game again is seeing Dick Rod self-implode on the sidelines all game long!! If you get the opportunity watch it again and keep a close eye on Rodriguez, you can basically see his career unfold after each 3 and out and subsequent touchdown by Illinois.
Alright, on to this weeks picks!!
Northwestern +16 @ Iowa -
Iowa is terrible!! They should be 4-5 right now, but they are getting lucky and also getting SEC treatment from the replay officials. This bet is contingent on Mike Kafka playing QB for Northwestern. After watching Iowa try and fail at running the ball last week, and Ricky Stanzi remembering that he is Ricky Stanzi by throwing 5 picks, I can't in good conscious bet Iowa. They are bound to lose one of these games that they are winning by the grace of God. Indiana was able to score on Iowa last week by spreading the defense and attacking one on one match-ups and also by running the ball with the QB. Northwestern is capable of doing both of those. Iowa will probably win this game, because Northwestern isn't very good, but again, I don't think they will be able to cover this spread.
Oklahoma -5 @ Nebraska -
I can't believe this line is so small. Absolutely nothing that Nebraska has done this season has been impressive. Their wins are against Florida Atlantic, Arkansas State, Louisiana LaFayette, Mizzou and Baylor. Losing to Texas Tech and Iowa State at home is not happy either. Even without Sam Bradford Oklahoma has more talent than pretty much 99% of the country, and I think now that they have gotten over the fact that Bradford isn't coming back, it should help them move forward. If Oklahoma wins by less than 10 I will be shocked.
Texas A&M -3 @ Colorado -
Texas A&M has actually been playing really well lately. They have back to back big wins against Iowa State and Texas Tech, so basically they are the opposite of Nebraska. Colorado on the other hand has little to no talent. When a head coach starts his son at QB and then has to bench him because he sucks that bad, you know your program is in trouble. Colorado is basically Illinois, but they don't have as much talent as the Illini. Tell me that isn't the perfect equation for betting against a team. It's like Vegas is trying to just give me money!!
Houston -2 @ Tulsa -
I am really surprised that people aren't lobbying more for Case Keenum as a Heisman candidate. Usually ESPN and every other major sports media outlet loves to be the "first" to jump on a bandwagon. How often have you seen a segment on TV where somebody is telling you about "someone you don't know, but you should"? Well Case Keenum is this guy this season. He has thrown for 3300 yards and 25 touchdowns with only 5 interceptions. He also is playing on a team that is ranked #13 in the country. Basically what is happening here is everyone has spent the last 4 years talking about how amazing Tim Tebow and Colt McCoy are. Is it beyond the realm of understanding that these players have peaked, or perhaps they are just having an off season. If you think coaches in sports have a hard time admitting that they were wrong, try to find a reporter or broadcaster who has ever admitted it.
Anyways, Houston has an offense that can't be stopped, so all Tulsa can hope for is to keep up like Southern Miss did last week. Tulsa however hasn't scored more than 27 points in the last month. Meanwhile, Houston has only scored less than 40 points 3 times in 8 games this year. The under of 67.5 points might also be a safe bet in this game. Take Houston and watch the fireworks.
Penn State -5 vs. Ohio State -
Both of these teams are very comparable, but the only problem for Ohio State is, is that Penn State is pretty much better in every area. Daryll Clark is much better than Tyrell Pryor right now at running the spread. Penn State is much better at running the football than Ohio State is, and Penn State's defense is much better than Ohio State's at pretty much everything. Realistically, Penn State is still in the running to get back to the Rose Bowl this season. Basically I don't see Ohio State being able to do anything on offense and their linebackers will be able to keep the running game under wraps, and Pryor is not a very good passer. Clark isn't exceptional, but he manages a game very well. I just think that PSU is better in every aspect. Also take into account that Ohio State's kicker is out for the season, and now they have a soccer player kicking field goals for them. Last week, they were 1 for 5 with a long of 29 yards. In a game that means a lot, either Tressel is going to have to take his chances with 2 bad kickers, or go for it on 4th down a lot. This bodes well for Penn State's defense.
See you Saturday!!
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